基于承灾体易损性的县域单元地质灾害风险评估

    Geological hazard risk assessment based on vulnerability of disaster-bearing body at county unite scale

    • 摘要: 县域单元的地质灾害风险评估是宏观层面资源环境承载能力监测预警的重要组成部分,可以作为行政单元生态文明建设考核的依据,对国土空间规划编制也具有重要的参考价值。针对承灾体易损性定量评价这一难点,尝试改进笔者以前的评估方法,以地质灾害易发区内的人口和资产作为承灾体统计,并根据省级单元地质灾害调查数据进行校正;以原国土资源部权威灾情数据与承灾体的比值作为易损性,依据全国样本值进行了承灾体易损性分级标准划定,结合地质灾害危险性区划完成全国2869个县域单元的地质灾害风险评估。结果表明,全国共有162个地质灾害高风险单元,701个中风险单元和2006个低风险单元。地质灾害高风险区集中分布于横断山区、乌蒙山区、秦岭—大巴山区、长白山区等地。

       

      Abstract: The assessment of geological hazard risk at county unit is an important part of the monitoring and early warningof the carrying capacity of resources and environment at the macro scale. Such assessment could be as the basis for ecological civilization construction of administrative, and also benefit for the compilation of territorial space planning. In order to overcome the difficulty in quantitative evaluation of vulnerability of the hazard-bearing body, this paper attempts to improve the evaluation method in the author's previous paper. The population and GDP assets in the geological disaster prone area are taken as the statistics of the disaster bearing body of the threatened object, and the correction is made according to the geological disaster survey data of provincial units. Taking the ratio of the authoritative disaster data of the former Ministry of Land and Resources and the disaster bearing body of the threatened object as vulnerability, the vulnerability classification standard of the disaster bearing body of the threatened object was delimited according to the national sample value, and the geological disaster risk assessment was completed for 2869 county units in China combined with the geological disaster risk zoning. The results showed that there were 162 geological hazard high-risk units, 701 medium-risk units and 2006 low-risk units in China. The high risk areas of geological disasters are concentrated in Hengduan Mountain area, Wumeng Mountain area, Qinling-Daba Mountain area and Changbai Mountain area.

       

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