An analysis of coordination relationship between groundwater resources and economic carrying capacity based on hyperbolic distance coordination model
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摘要:
如何分析区域资源环境与社会经济之间的协调匹配程度，是促进区域经济可持续发展首先需要厘清的问题。基于资源环境承载协调理论，构建了基于双曲距离协调度的资源-经济系统的协调分析模型方法。根据该模型对全国依赖地下水资源且开发程度较高的514个县的地下水资源和经济数据进行了协调关系分析，评价了各县地下水资源禀赋与其承载的经济体之间的协调关系水平，结果显示2个系统之间的协调匹配程度及空间上具有较大差异性。东北和西北大部分地区处于地下水资源与经济协调的正向区间，区域经济发展仍具有一定潜力，华北及南方大部分地区处于负向协调区间，经济的发展超越了地下水资源的承载能力。
Abstract:Resources and environment conditions are important factors for supporting social and economic development. China's natural resources and environment conditions are very complex, regional dierences are great, and the gap of regional economic development is widening day by day.How to analyze the degree of coordination and matching between resources, environment and social economy is the first problem to be clarified in order to promote the sustainable development of regional economy.Based on the coordination theory of resource and environment carrying capacity, the authors constructed a coordination analysis model method of resource-economy system based on hyperbolic distance coordination degree.According to the model, the authors made coordinated relationship analysis of China's 514 counties which rely on groundwater resources and have developed a higher degree of groundwater resources as well as economic data, and evaluated the level of coordination between economy and the groundwater resources endowment of these counties. The results show some differences of coordination between the two systems and between the degrees of space. Most areas in Northeast and Northwest China are in the positive region of groundwater resources and economic coordination, and regional economic development still has certain potential, whereas most areas of North China and South China are in the negative coordination zone, where the economic development exceeds the carrying capacity of groundwater resources.
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图 1 资源环境-经济系统协调度模型(示意)
Figure 1. Resource environment-economic system coordination model(schematic)
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图 4 地下水资源R-经济S协调回归曲线
Figure 4. Groundwater resource(R)-economic(S) coordination regression curve
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图 5 全国514个县的地下水资源与经济距离协调度评价结果分布图
Figure 5. The distribution of the evaluation results of the coordination degree of groundwater resources and economic distance in 514 counties of China
表 1 累积频率分级结果
Table 1 Cumulative frequency classification results
累计频率C 对应协调度D值 10% 0.002 30% 0.007 70% 0.021 90% 0.050 
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表 2 514个县地下水资源与经济协调度水平
Table 2 Groundwater resources and economic coordination level in 514 counties
协调水平 处于正向协调区间的县个数 处于负向协调区间的县个数 优质协调 21 29 良好协调 68 35 轻度失调 148 57 中度失调 65 38 重度失调 - 53 合计 302 212
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