深部找矿:地质理论、勘查技术、投资决策的难题及对策

    Deep ore-prospecting: challenges and solutions in terms of geological theory, exploration technology and investment decision-making

    • 摘要: 通过对国内外深部找矿的实例、矿产勘查的当前水平和发展趋势分析,探讨了深部找矿勘查对地质理论、勘查技术、投资决策的挑战和我们应采取的对策。深部找矿的特殊性使之在地质理论、勘查技术和投资决策方面临更大的挑战,主要难题是:①成矿理论缺乏足够的预测能力;②地质构造理论推断深部地质构造格架及其演化历程带有比较大的不确定性;③传统地质思维难以适应复杂的非线性系统;④“遥测”信息的多解性制约了对深部地质的了解;⑤钻探仍是控制勘查成本的关键性因素;⑥避免投资决策管理的失误并不容易。针对这些困难,可以采取的对策有:①切实提高成矿理论的预测能力;②在发展信息探测技术的同时重视信息应用技术的创新;③充分利用好每一个深部钻孔;④建立基于长远规划的科学支持的投资决策机制;⑤真正重视人的作用。

       

      Abstract: By comprehensive analysis on the typical cases of deep ore exploration and current level and trends of the exploration geology, it is demonstrated that the geological theories, exploration technologies and investment decision are not only important but also challenge to the deep ore exploration, because of the specific features of the deep ore exploration. The major difficulties challenging the deep ore exploration include that, ①the current metallogenic theories are not compellent in predictive capability; ②the geotectonic theories are not capable to deduce the exact architecture and evolution processes of the deep structure; ③the traditional linear intellection is not suitable for researching the nonlinear complex geosystems; ④ multi-choosing solution of the remote detecting information are not exact enough reflecting the reality of the deep structures and deep ore-related factors; ⑤drilling is so far the critical cost factor that is vital for deep ore exploration projects; and ⑥it is not easy for making correct investment decision to avoiding failure. To deal with these difficulties, the practicable strategies are suggested, ①to promote predictive capability of the metallogenic theories; ②to develop the information exploring technologies as well as innovate information application methods; ③to ensure the most efficient application of every deep drill hole; ④to construct scientific mechanism of making investment decision based on long term plan; and ⑤to really attach importance to the role of the intellectual people.

       

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