金融危机对矿业的影响及分析预测

    Impacts of financial crisis on mining industry and some prospect

    • 摘要: 席卷全球的金融危机正在疯狂肆虐,矿业也难以独善其身。金融危机导致矿产品价格全线跳水、矿业公司股价大幅下跌、矿产品需求下降。矿产品价格大幅下跌是矿产品价格在挤出泡沫之后的一种理性回归。矿业发展自身的规律与百年不遇的金融危机的相互叠加、相互影响,加速了此轮矿业繁荣周期的终结并开始了走向下行期的步伐。金融危机给矿业带来了挑战与机遇,但机遇远大于挑战。对此提出如下建议:改善中国矿业投资环境,调整矿产品进出口政策;培育大型跨国矿业公司,提高竞争力;建立国外资源储备基地,吸引海外地质勘查人才;重新审视和再认识地勘基金的定位;抓住有利时机整合资源,促进矿业结构调整。

       

      Abstract: The financial crisis involving all over the world is indulged in persecution right now. The mining industry cannot get out of the disaster either. All prices of mineral product went down and share prices of mining company depreciated in great extent directly and quickly, and the demand for minerals declined due to the financial crisis. The great decline in prices of minerals is a logical return after foam of price of minerals was destroyed. The mutual superposition and influence between the cycle of mining development and the financial crisis that are not likely to happen in a century accelerated the pace for ending the mining boom and going in down-turn period. Though both challenge and opportunity for mineral industry has been brought by the financial crisis, opportunity is far more than challenge. Therefore, some suggestions are put forward such as improving our mining invest environment and adjusting policies in imports and exports for minerals, supporting and constructing large multinational companies and increasing competitiveness, setting up some bases for resource reserves overseas and attracting talents in geological survey at abroad, re-viewing and recognizing the position of Central Geological Exploration Fund, and integrating resources in favorable opportunity and advancing the mining structural adjustment.

       

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