基于LOF-ADASYN的土质滑坡地表位移监测数据平衡优化算法研究

    • 摘要: 蠕变型土质滑坡在失稳破坏前具有明显的渐变性和阶段性特征,因此该类滑坡地表位移监测数据存在异常数据过多以及数据不平衡的问题,影响模型的预测准确率。针对上述问题,本文提出了一种基于局部离群因子(LOF)和自适应合成抽样(ADASYN)的平衡优化算法,对土质滑坡各阶段的地表位移数据进行优化,通过构建GA-BP神经网络预测模型验证LOF-ADASYN算法可行性。以湖北襄阳雷公咀滑坡为例,将平衡优化前后的地表位移数据输入GA-BP模型对比预测结果。实验结果表明,经过LOF-ADASYN算法平衡优化后,预测模型的拟合系数提升了0.119,均方误差和平均绝对误差分别减小了27.42%和39.23%,LOF-ADASYN算法能够解决蠕变型土质滑坡位移监测数据中存在的数据不平衡和异常值过多的问题,提高模型的预测准确率。

       

      Abstract: The creep soil landslide generally goes through the initial deformation stage, the uniform deformation stage and the accelerated deformation stage from the deformation start to the overall failure. Before the instability and failure, it has obvious gradual and stage characteristics. Therefore, the surface displacement monitoring data of the creep soil landslide has the problems of excessive abnormal data and data imbalance, which affects the prediction accuracy of the model. In view of the above problems, this paper proposes a balanced optimization algorithm based on Local Outlier Factor(LOF)and Adaptive Synthetic Sampling(ADASYN)to optimize the surface displacement data of each stage of the soil landslide, and then establishes a GA-BP neural network prediction model to verify the feasibility of the LOF-ADASYN algorithm. Taking the Leigongzui landslide in Hubei Province as an example, the surface displacement data before and after the balanced optimization are input into the GA-BP model to compare the prediction results. The experimental results show that after the balanced optimization of the LOF-ADASYN algorithm, the fitting coefficient of the prediction model is increased by 0.119, the mean square error and the mean absolute error are reduced by 27.42%and 39.23%respectively. The LOF-ADASYN algorithm can solve the problems of excessive abnormal data and data imbalance in the displacement monitoring data of the creep soil landslide, and improve the prediction accuracy of the model.

       

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