基于RSEI的安徽省生态环境质量时空变化及驱动因素研究

    • 摘要: 生态环境质量是衡量人与自然和谐共生的关键指征,更是决定区域能否实现可持续发展的核心要素。基于此本研究利用Google Earth Engine云平台进行长时序、大范围分析,结合长时序遥感生态指数(RSEI),深入对生态环境质量时空变化探究。以安徽省为例,基于GEE平台提取2003-2023年RSEI指数,采用Theil-Sen Median趋势分析和Mann-Kend-all检验,运用最优参数地理探测器模型分析安徽省生态环境质量变化情况及驱动因素。结果显示:(1)近20年来安徽省RSEI时间上呈现波动上升趋势,空间上呈现北低南高的空间分布特征,空间分异性显著。(2)从安徽省RSEI未来变化趋势来看,安徽省生态环境质量未来变化仍以改善为主,南部大部分地区呈现极显著增加,北部地区同样呈现出不显著增加趋势,中部少数地区呈现出显著减少趋势。(3)从安徽省RSEI变化驱动因素来看,各因子交互探测作用下的q值明显大于单因子探测q值,2003年NDVI和年降水量交互作用最大,为0.5491。2008年平均气温和NDVI的交互作用最大,为0.4260。2013年NDVI和土地利用类型交互作用最大,为0.5115。2018年NDVI和土地利用类型交互作用最大,为0.4325。2023年NDVI和年降水量交互作用最大,为0.4680。安徽省生态环境质量整体呈现向好发展趋势,但区域不均衡仍是突出短板,未来需因地制宜地调整各地产业布局与政策,以推动生态与经济的协同发展。

       

      Abstract: Ecological environment quality is a key indicator for measuring the harmony between humans and nature, and moreover, a core element determining whether a region can achieve sustainable development. Therefore, this study utilizes the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform for long-term, large-scale analysis. Combined with the Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI), it conducts an in-depth investigation into the spatiotemporal changes of EEQ. Taking Anhui Province as a case study, the RSEI from 2003 to 2023 was extracted based on the GEE platform. The Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and Mann-Kendall test were employed, and the optimal parameters-based geographical detector model was used to analyze the changes and driving factors of EEQ in Anhui Province. The results indicate that: (1) Over the past 20 years, the RSEI in Anhui Province showed a fluctuating upward trend temporally, and a spatial distribution characteristic of "low in the north and high in the south, " with significant spatial heterogeneity. (2) Regarding the future change trend of RSEI, the EEQ in Anhui Province is still predominantly projected to improve. Most areas in the south show a highly significant increase, while northern areas also show a non-significant increasing trend. However, a few central areas exhibit a significant decreasing trend. (3) Concerning the driving factors of RSEI changes, the q-values under the interaction detection of various factors were significantly greater than those under single-factor detection. In 2003, the interaction between NDVI and annual precipitation was the strongest (q = 0.5491). In 2008, the interaction between average temperature and NDVI was the strongest (q = 0.4260). In both 2013 and 2018, the interaction between NDVI and land use type was the strongest (q = 0.5115 and 0.4325, respectively). In 2023, the interaction between NDVI and annual precipitation was again the strongest (q = 0.4680). Overall, the ecological environment quality in Anhui Province exhibits a positive developmental trend, although regional imbalance remains a prominent shortcoming. In the future, it is necessary to adjust industrial layouts and policies according to local conditions to promote the synergistic development of ecology and economy.

       

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