基于SBAS-InSAR的青藏高原东部波戈溪古滑坡变形机制与影响因素分析

    • 摘要: 【研究目的】位于青藏高原东部的巴塘断裂带内构造活动强烈,地震频发,导致区内大型古滑坡极为发育,常威胁公路、铁路、河流与村庄安全。但现有研究对大型古滑坡的变形复活机制认识不清、影响因素分析不够深入,制约了滑坡灾害的有效预警和防控。【研究方法】本文以青藏高原东部波戈溪古滑坡为例,结合Sentinel-1卫星SBAS-InSAR形变数据(2017~2025年)、长期降雨记录以及地质调查,分析其变形机制与影响因素。【研究结果】波戈溪古滑坡平面呈长舌型,纵长2.5km,平均宽度800m,体积约208×103m3,呈现“构造分段控滑”特征。InSAR地表形变监测揭示滑坡形变具有空间异质性,滑坡后壁较为不稳定,年均形变速率约为-48.5mm/a,滑坡中部的极强变形区最大形变速率为-267.15mm/a,滑坡前缘极强变形区最大形变速率为-177.11mm/a,具有多级演化特征。根据时序分析,将波戈溪古滑坡的演化过程分为初始蠕滑(2017~2020年)、暴雨触发加速滑动(2020~2021年)及匀速变形(2021年至今)三阶段,呈现“降雨阶段触发”和“降雨量控制形变滞后时间”的响应特征,最大累计形变量为-3358.62mm。剖面形变速率与现场地质调查揭示,滑坡前中部锁固段暂时制约贯通滑动,呈现中部推移式与前缘牵引式耦合的复合形变机制。【结论】复合变形机制体现了断裂带活动与强降雨耦合作用对滑坡变形的控制机制。该研究深化了对构造-降雨耦合控制下古滑坡复活机制的认识,为高山峡谷区滑坡监测预警提供了科学参考。

       

      Abstract: ObjectiveThe Batang fault zone located in the eastern Tibetan Plateau exhibits intense tectonic activity and frequent seismic events, resulting in the extensive development of large ancient landslides that constantly threaten the safety of highways, railways, rivers, and villages. However, existing studies lack clear understanding of the reactivation mechanisms of large ancient landslides and insufficient in-depth analysis of influencing factors, constraining effective early warning and prevention of landslide hazards. MethodsThis study takes the Bogexi ancient landslide in the eastern Tibetan Plateau as a case study, combining Sentinel-1 satellite SBAS-InSAR deformation data (2017–2025), long-term precipitation records, and geological investigations to analyze its deformation mechanisms and influencing factors. ResultsThe Bogexi ancient landslide exhibits a “long tongue-shaped” planform, with a longitudinal length of 2.5 km, an average width of 800 m, and a volume of approximately 208×103 m3, presenting characteristics of “tectonically segmented sliding control”. InSAR surface deformation monitoring reveals spatial heterogeneity in landslide deformation, with the backwall of landslide being relatively unstable, showing an average annual deformation rate of approximately -48.5 mm/a. The extremely strong deformation zone in the middle part of the landslide exhibits a maximum deformation rate of -267.15 mm/a, while the extremely strong deformation zone at the landslide toe shows a maximum deformation rate of -177.11 mm/a, displaying multi-stage evolutionary characteristics. Based on time-series analysis, the evolutionary process of the Bogexi ancient landslide is divided into three stages: initial creeping (2017–2020), heavy rainfall-triggered accelerated sliding (2020-2021), and uniform deformation (2021 to present), exhibiting response characteristics of “rainfall-stage triggering” and “precipitation-controlled deformation lag time”, with a maximum cumulative deformation of -3358.62 mm. Profile deformation rates and field geological investigations reveal that the locked segment in the front-middle part of the landslide temporarily constrains through-going sliding, presenting a composite deformation mechanism coupling middle-part pushing and toe-part retrogressive styles. ConclusionsThe composite deformation mechanism reflects the control mechanism of fault zone activity and heavy rainfall coupling on landslide deformation. This study deepens the understanding of ancient landslide reactivation mechanisms under tectonic-rainfall coupling control and provides scientific reference for landslide monitoring and early warning in high mountain-canyon regions.

       

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