京津冀地区生态系统服务价值时空演变与驱动力分析

    Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of ecosystem service value in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 生态系统服务价值(ESV)评估对促进生态文明建设和可持续发展具有重要意义,通过揭示京津冀地区生态系统服务价值的时空变化规律及驱动机制,可为京津冀协同发展背景下的国土空间规划和生态安全格局的建立提供理论支撑和实践指导。
      研究方法 本文以京津冀地区为例,基于1990—2020年的土地利用数据,运用修正后的当量因子法、冷热点分析、地理探测器等方法,综合分析研究区生态系统服务价值的时空分异特征及驱动机制。
      研究结果 结果显示:① ESV总量变化呈现“增长—下降—回升”的波动趋势,30年间净增值达15.67亿元,其中,2000—2010年因城镇化加速导致阶段性下降;② ESV空间分布格局较稳定,自西北向东南呈“低—高—低—高”分布。高值区沿渤海湾和燕山山地呈带状分布,低值区集中于京津核心城市群;③ ESV的空间异质性是由自然环境因素和社会经济因素共同驱动的。其中,夜间灯光强度∩高程交互作用的解释力较强,贡献较大,是空间分异的主导因子;④ 社会经济因素对京津冀地区ESV空间分异的驱动作用显著强于自然环境因素,但植被覆盖率等自然环境因子的解释力显著增长,反映出生态保护政策的实施正在重塑区域ESV的空间格局。
      结论 为了提升京津冀地区的生态系统服务价值,应采取措施加强对燕山山地及渤海湾沿岸重要生态功能区的恢复与保护;同时严格限制东部平原地区的建设用地扩张,保护基本农田,提高耕地质量。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective The evaluation of ecosystem service value (ESV) is of great significance in promoting ecological civilization construction and sustainable development. By revealing the spatiotemporal changes and driving mechanisms of ecosystem service value in the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei Region, it can provide theoretical support and practical guidance for the establishment of national land spatial planning and ecological security pattern under the background of coordinated development of Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei.
      Methods Taking the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei Region as an example, based on land use data from 1990 to 2020, this article comprehensively analyzes the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics and driving mechanisms of ecosystem service value in the study area using modified equivalent factor method, cold and hot spot analysis, and geographic detector methods.
      Results (1) The total amount of ESV showed a fluctuating trend of "growth decline rebound", with a net value added of 1.567 billion yuan over 30 years, of which the period from 2000 to 2010 experienced a phased decline due to accelerated urbanization; (2) The spatial distribution pattern of ESV is relatively stable, showing a "low−high−low−high" distribution from northwest to southeast. The high−value areas are distributed in a strip along the Bohai Bay and Yanshan Mountains, while the low value areas are concentrated in the core urban agglomeration of Beijing and Tianjin; (3) The spatial heterogeneity of ESV is driven by both natural environmental factors and socio−economic factors. Among them, the explanatory power of the interaction between nighttime light intensity and elevation is strong and contributes significantly, making it the dominant factor in spatial differentiation; (4) The driving force of socio−economic factors on the spatial differentiation of ESV in the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei Region is significantly stronger than that of natural environmental factors, but the explanatory power of natural environmental factors such as vegetation coverage has significantly increased, reflecting that the implementation of ecological protection policies is reshaping the spatial pattern of regional ESV.
      Conclusions In order to enhance the ecosystem service value of the Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei Region, measures should be taken to strengthen the restoration and protection of important ecological functional areas along the Yanshan Mountains and Bohai Bay coast; At the same time, strict restrictions will be imposed on the expansion of construction land in the eastern plain areas, protecting basic farmland and improving the quality of cultivated land.

       

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