基于多情景生态系统服务权衡的长三角优先保护区研究

    Priority conservation areas in the Yangtze River Delta based on multi-scenario trade-offs of ecosystem services

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 长三角地区生态系统服务的时空演变特征及优先保护区研究,对于缓解区域经济发展与生态保护冲突、实现可持续发展具有重要意义。
      研究方法 采用NDVI配比法、InVEST模型、景观指标等方法测算了长三角地区粮食供给、产水量、碳储量、土壤保持、生境质量和景观美学6项关键生态系统服务。通过Spearman相关性分析评估生态系统服务之间的权衡/协同关系,并引入生态系统服务协同获益指数揭示其空间异质性。基于有序加权平均法构建 7 种保护情景,通过比较保护效率和权衡值确定最优情景。
      研究结果 ① 长三角地区生态系统服务空间分布不均,粮食供给高值分布于北部平原,其余5项服务的高值集中于西南山地丘陵。2000—2020年粮食供给和产水量持续增长,土壤保持和景观美学先降后升,碳储量和生境质量持续下降。② 粮食供给与其他生态系统服务之间存在权衡关系,而产水量、碳储量、土壤保持、生境质量、景观美学内部之间存在协同关系。③ 情景4综合保护效率最优,被确定为最优情景,可协调服务间冲突。
      结论 为提升长三角地区生态系统服务功能与生态安全水平,可将区域划分为西南山地保育区、北部平原协调区和沿海湿地修复区三大功能区,实施差异化管控与生态修复措施。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective The research on the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of ecosystem services and the identification of priority conservation areas in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region is of great importance for easing the conflict between regional economic development and ecological protection, and for achieving sustainable development.
      Methods This study employed the NDVI ratio method, the InVEST model, and landscape metrics to quantify six key ecosystem services in the Yangtze River Delta region, including food production (FP), water yield (WY), carbon storage (CS), soil conservation (SC), habitat quality (HQ), and landscape aesthetics (LA). Spearman correlation was used to evaluate trade−offs and synergies among ecosystem services, and the Ecosystem Service Synergistic Benefit Index (ESSB) was introduced to reveal spatial heterogeneity. Seven conservation scenarios were constructed utilizing the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) method, with optimal scenarios determined based on protection efficiency and trade−off values. The optimal scenario was identified by comparing conservation efficiency and trade−off values.
      Results (1) The spatial distribution of ecosystem services in the Yangtze River Delta is uneven. High values of FP are mainly concentrated in the northern plains, while the other five services are primarily concentrated in the southwestern mountainous and hilly areas. From 2000 to 2020, FP and WY steadily increased, SC and LA initially declined and then increased, and CS and HQ continuously decreased. (2) FP exhibited significant trade−offs with other ecosystem services, whereas clear synergies existed among WY, CS, SC, HQ, and LA. (3) Scenario 4 provided the optimal comprehensive protection efficiency, effectively balancing ecosystem services.
      Conclusions To improve ecosystem services and ecological security in the YRD, the region can be divided into three functional zones with targeted regulation and restoration measures.

       

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