天然气水合物产业化关键问题研究与思考

    The key issues of the industrialization of natural gas hydrate

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 推进天然气水合物产业化对保障国家能源安全、促进绿色低碳转型具有重要意义,但目前中国天然气水合物产业化进程中仍面临多重挑战。系统梳理中国天然气水合物产业化面临的关键问题,并提出针对性发展建议,为产业政策制定和技术攻关提供参考。
      研究方法 基于文献调研与德尔菲法,对60余位来自科研机构的专家开展访谈与意见征集,系统分析中国天然气水合物在资源、技术、环境、政策、市场等方面的现状与瓶颈。
      研究结果 中国天然气水合物资源潜力巨大,但存在资源调查不均衡、可采资源量不明、丰度偏低等问题;关键技术如储层改造、防砂、钻完井等尚未突破;环境监测与风险防控体系不完善;矿业权重叠、政策支持不足、市场开放度低等制度性障碍突出;开采成本高、产量低,面临可再生能源和常规天然气的竞争压力。
      结论 建议将天然气水合物纳入国家能源战略体系,加强资源调查与理论攻关,构建高效开发技术装备体系,健全环境监测与政策保障机制,激发企业参与动力,推动形成商业化模式,以实现其产业化可持续发展。

       

      Abstract:
      This paper presents the results of research and deliberation on key issues related to the industrialization of natural gas hydrate.
      Objective Promoting the industrialization of natural gas hydrate (NGH) is of great significance for ensuring national energy security and facilitating a green and low−carbon transition. However, China still faces multiple challenges in this process. This paper aims to systematically identify the key issues hindering the industrialization of NGH in China and propose targeted development recommendations to support the formulation of industrial policies and enable technological breakthroughs.
      Methods Based on a literature review and the Delphi method, interviews and opinion surveys were conducted with over 60 experts from research institutions to systematically analyze the current status and bottlenecks of China's NGH sector in terms of resources, technology, environment, policy, and market.
      Results China possesses significant NGH resource potential, yet challenges remain, including uneven resource exploration, unclear recoverable reserves, and low resource abundance. Key technologies—such as reservoir stimulation, sand control, and drilling and completion—have yet to achieve breakthroughs. Environmental monitoring and risk prevention systems remain incomplete. Institutional barriers, such as overlapping mining rights, insufficient policy support, and limited market openness, are prominent. High extraction costs, low production rates, and competition from renewable energy and conventional natural gas also pose constraints.
      Conclusions It is recommended that NGH be integrated into the national energy strategy system, with strengthened resource assessment and theoretical research, the establishment of an efficient technical equipment system for development, improved environmental monitoring and policy mechanisms, increased enterprise participation, and the promotion of commercial models to achieve sustainable industrialization.

       

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