大数据分类系列模型提高找矿靶区预测精度

    The series of big data classification models enhance the prediction accuracy of mineral prospecting target areas

    • 摘要:
      研究目的 地质找矿效果取决于找矿靶区预测的准确程度,应用大数据的思想、方法,深度挖掘区域地球化学信息与已知金矿床相关关系,探讨对区域金矿找矿靶区精准预测的方法、技术。
      研究方法 以甘肃省西秦岭区域大数据方法Au找矿靶区定量预测为例,强调了原始数据深度处理-消除各项误差的重要性,重点介绍不同比例尺化探信息分类构建系列预测模型−预测结果整合的建模思想。
      研究结果 通过自主研发的化探数据处理软件(包括预测下限确定与分幅分区平差模块),有效消除了原始数据的系统误差,解决了低缓异常丢失问题,为找矿预测奠定高质量数据基础。创新提出“分类建模-预测结果整合”流程,针对不同比例尺物化探、地质等信息分别构建靶区预测模型并整合结果,规避了信息精度与代表性差异的影响。以此避免因不同信息权重对模型预测结果的影响,从而大幅提高找矿靶区预测精度的必要性和可行性。
      结论 该方法将找矿靶区范围显著缩小至研究区总面积的3.38%,其中50%为有矿靶区,预测靶区矿化发现概率达36.8%,大幅提升了预测效率与可靠性。研究方法普适性强,可推广至区域物探及地质信息预测领域,为智能找矿靶区预测提供新范式,有效提升预测精度。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective The effectiveness of geological prospecting depends on the accuracy of prospecting target prediction. This paper introduces the application of big data concepts and methodologies to deeply explore the correlation between regional geochemical information and known gold deposits, aiming to achieve precise prediction of regional gold prospecting targets.
      Methods Taking the quantitative prediction of Au prospecting targets using big data methods in the West Qinling region of Gansu Province as an example, this study emphasizes the importance of deep processing of raw data to eliminate various errors. It highlights the modeling approach of classifying geochemical information at different scales to construct a series of prediction models and integrating the prediction results.
      Results Through self−developed geochemical data processing software (including modules for determining anomaly recognition thresholds and sub−region adjustment), systematic errors in the raw data were effectively eliminated, addressing the issue of missing low−contrast anomalies. This laid a high−quality data foundation for prospecting prediction. The innovative "classified modeling−integrated prediction results" process was proposed, wherein target prediction models were constructed separately for geophysical, geochemical, and geological information at different scales, and the results were integrated. This approach mitigated the impact of differences in information accuracy and representativeness, thereby significantly enhancing the necessity and feasibility of improving the accuracy of prospecting target prediction.
      Conclusions This method significantly reduced the prospecting target area to only 3.38% of the total study area, with 50% of these targets being mineralized. The probability of discovering mineralization in the predicted target areas reached 36.8%, greatly improving prediction efficiency and reliability. The research methodology exhibits strong universality and can be extended to regional geophysical and geological information prediction fields, providing a new paradigm for intelligent prospecting target prediction and effectively enhancing prediction accuracy.

       

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